A simulation impact evaluation of a cigarette excise tax increase on licit and illicit cigarette consumption and tax revenue in 36 European countries.

11 July 2018

From: Public Health. 2018 Jun 28;162:48-57. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2018.05.017. [Epub ahead of print]

Schafferer C1, Yeh CY2, Chen SH3, Lee JM4, Hsieh CJ5.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES:

To assess the impact of a simulated 10% tax-induced cigarette price increase on licit and illicit consumption and tax revenues in 36 European countries.

METHODS:

Employing panel data for licit and illicit cigarette consumption, fixed effects regression models were applied for different income clusters.

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